Get an instant view of Harris or Trump's chance of winning the 2024 presidential election which uses data from the Betfair Exchange to show each candidate's percentage chance

Get the latest odds for the seven closest state races at the 2024 US Election. Data from the Betfair Exchange markets for each state.

This is the story of the 2024 presidential election so far showing daily average odds from the Betfair Exchange for each of the main candidates

US state prediction map for the 2024 election using Betfair Exchange odds to percentages. Numbers represent each state's electoral college seats - to win the election the candidate needs a majority of 270 seats. A state's allocation is essentially based on population size.

To win the US election a candidate must win the electoral college. Each state is allocated a total according to population, there are 538 available and 270 is the total the winning president needs to achieve.
Click here to read a full explainer on the Electoral College

This Betfair Predicts graph tells the story of how the Betfair Exchange odds moved during the first debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump. Watch as the market moves in favour of the Democrat candidate who started the night as underdog but flipped the betting on its head.